Fun Facts Wednesday – CCP Virus Mortality Rate

It was really tough finding this up to date CCP Virus mortality rate information so you may want to save this article to PDF Format. Use the PDF Button at the bottom of the article, left side to save.

Below, listed by week, is the average mortality rate by day due to the CCP Virus.

 Week Ending  Average Per Day
Sept. 12  759
Sept. 5  881
Aug. 29  956
Aug. 22 1,037
Aug. 15 1,061
Aug. 8 1,074
Aug. 1  991
July 25  931
July 18  701

Here is a graph showing mortality rates by day since the start of 2020. For a better interactive graph go here

For kicks and giggles, let us take week ending September 12, 2020. There was an average of 759 deaths per day in the United States over a seven-day period. Not even considering territories of the United States lets divide the 759 deaths by 50 states that gives us about 15 deaths per state a day. Is this a good reason to still have states in lock down, or partial lock down mode?

Remember, we are only closing down the country until we just flatten the curve to control hospital admittance due to the CCP Virus and to get some really good parodies. Speaking of parodies…

Freedom Through Self-Reliance â„¢

PS: Didn’t see that coming did you ?

 

 

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About the Author: johnyMac

5 Comments

  1. Anonymous September 16, 2020 at 10:17

    5

  2. Knowledge Is Power September 16, 2020 at 10:56

    Hi posted this over on Aesop’s blog, and it didn’t generate any conversation, so posting it here to widen the audience and get some thoughts.

    A few points I’d like to add to the conversation, and also preface these with saying I have had and fully recovered from COVID19.

    More key data points are needed to understand the true fatality rate. I do not agree that taking current deaths / total positive test rate is sufficient or intellectually honest.

    For consideration and discussion:

    – How many people have had it, but didn’t know it because they were asymptomatic? (https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/40-45-who-contract-new-coronavirus-are-asymptomatic#Large-numbers-of-asymptomatic-cases)

    – How many asymptomatic carriers develop antibodies? (https://www.augustahealth.com/health-focused/covid-19-asymptomatic-carriers-and-antibody-tests)

    We should be realistic and acknowledge that there is a non-zero number of asymptomatic people in the US that had it but were never counted in the total positive test count, and a non-zero number of asymptomatic persons that have developed antibodies. Therefore, we know that the fatality rate is LOWER, but we can’t quantify this without more data.

    What this could mean: If 40% (40%!!!!!!) of people could potentially be asymptomatic, and therefore NEVER seek testing, we will have much higher herd immunity than the numbers indicate. I know this is true because I have first hand reports of a friend/father who took his daughter to college. The college requires testing prior to starting classes, so she took test, despite having no symptoms. Result? POSITIVE! So she tells her father, who also takes the test, despite having no symptoms. Result? POSITIVE! The ONLY reason these were caught is because they were tested as part of a pre-screening event, NOT because of symptoms.

    Using a conservative figure that 60% of people tested represent the ‘symptomatic’ population (as of 8/31 this is 6,009,917), then that means that a theoretical total number of ~10M people have actually been infected (~6M symptomatic tested + ~4M asymptomatic untested).

    A death rate of 180k in 5M is ~3.6%
    A death rate of 180k into 10M is 1.8%

    But what if the count is higher? Much, much higher? While all of this is pure speculation, if this is truly as ‘contagious’ as everyone is saying it is (to justify wearing asks, etc.), then what if we had:
    20M infected = .9% fatality
    30M infected = .6% fatality
    40M infected = .45% fatality
    50M infected = .36% fatality

    Solutions:

    1. Nationwide antibody testing of everybody to identify who has had it, but never knew it.
    2. More testing to determine what % of asymptomatic patients leads to antibodies

    Lastly, I’ll briefly share my direct experience with COVID.
    Day 1: odd sinus sensation
    Day 2: burning / intense sensation in sinuses, especially with air directly blowing in face from fan or car air conditioner
    Day 3: Continue sinus headache and fatigue, and lost smell at the end of day
    Day 4: Loss of smell continues, sinus pain and headaches reduce. No congestion or fluid discharge from sinuses.
    Day 5: Sought Covid test via nasal swab.
    Day 6-8: No sense of smell, general fatigue in afternoon after 8 hours of being awake
    Day 8: Received positive test result
    Day 9-16: No sense of smell, continued general fatigue in afternoon
    Day 17: starting to feel less fatigue
    Day 18-20: almost back to full stamina.
    Day 19: started to regain sense of smell (~20-30%)
    Completed quarantine

    Here’s the kicker: Wife tested negative on nasal swab, and whole family tested negative for blood antibodies 15 days after we completed our 14 day quarantine. I tested POSITIVE for blood antibodies. They were 100% exposed to me daily during first 8 days of having symptoms and awaiting test results. Why did they not get infected if this is so contagious??? Natural Immunity? Strong immune systems? Memory T Cells?

    Interested to hear thoughts from the group, but my conclusion is that this is NOT nearly as fatal or as big a deal as the current actions and draconian measures being put into place. Summer is the BEST time to be building herd immunity – fresh air, plenty of sunshine and vitamin D, and lack of competing illnesses to weaken our immune systems.

    • johnyMac September 16, 2020 at 13:50

      Great write-up Knowledge Is Power.

      Another thing to add to the equation is the false positive/negative tests we have all read about. IMO, the mortality rate is lower than we are lead to believe.

      73 & God Bless

  3. Bad_Brad September 16, 2020 at 12:01

    I’ve read several places that some very educated Docs are saying California reached Herd Immunity 4 weeks ago.

  4. James September 16, 2020 at 20:03

    Knowledge,thanks for your post and giving info. in regards to virus,I personally know no one who has knowingly had the virus/tested positive /ect.I assume many of us have been at least exposed and some as mentioned had virus without much in the way of issues health wise,happy to hear you rode it out and seem better.Look forward to the day the band can play out again to folks and make their and our day a bit happier.

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