CHINA’S PLANNED MILITARY DRILLS – MAP
#THREAD: 1) It seems to me that #China has chosen a phased approach of limited military measures to squeeze #Taiwan here & there, on & off, pressure & release tactics, coupled with long term economic retaliation.
Southern Okinawa Japanese islands are also in China's crosshairs. pic.twitter.com/NR9foeDVxu
— Indo-Pacific News – Watching the CCP-China Threat (@IndoPac_Info) August 4, 2022
2) Here, the Global Times talks about #PLA military drill areas becoming a threat to #Taiwan's ports & shipping lanes, forming a blockade as a step to achieve reunification by force in the future.
Also a good way to test a US response.https://t.co/SFQo14zCeT
— Indo-Pacific News – Watching the CCP-China Threat (@IndoPac_Info) August 4, 2022
3) This would be a calibrated approach, designed to hurt enough, but not too much that can trigger a war or US intervention.
But…… If Taiwan fires on Chinese forces to stop the blockade, then China has the excuse to go with full force, or could take small Taiwanese islands. pic.twitter.com/wBLZ96qang
— Indo-Pacific News – Watching the CCP-China Threat (@IndoPac_Info) August 4, 2022
4) China could take small Taiwanese islands next to China's coast + Pratas & Itu Aba islands in the #SouthChinaSea which are indefensible.
These are low risk actions that are unlikely to bring US intervention, but would allow Xi to declare an easy victory. pic.twitter.com/CMtB3ATHIq
— Indo-Pacific News – Watching the CCP-China Threat (@IndoPac_Info) August 4, 2022