The Housing Bubble about to Burst?

Pending home sales just hit the LOWEST LEVEL EVER RECORDED.

Ever. In history. Lower than 2008. Lower than COVID.

This is not a slowdown. This is a collapse beginning in real time.

If you own a home β€” read this.
If you’re thinking of buying β€” DO NOT.

Here’s what’s happening step by step:

RIGHT NOW:
β†’ Nobody is buying homes
β†’ Pending sales at all-time lows
β†’ Florida already crashing β€” Fort Myers down 11.5%
β†’ Sellers are panicking and listing below market
β†’ Inventory is flooding the market

NEXT 3 MONTHS:
β†’ More sellers. Fewer buyers. Prices drop faster.
β†’ People who bought in 2022-2024 go underwater
β†’ They owe more than their home is worth
β†’ They can’t sell. They can’t refinance. They’re trapped.

6 MONTHS:
β†’ Foreclosures start rising
β†’ Banks tighten lending even more
β†’ Construction companies lay off thousands
β†’ Entire neighborhoods go up for sale at once

12 MONTHS:
β†’ Full 2008-style crash in sunbelt markets
β†’ Texas. Arizona. Florida. Georgia. All falling.
β†’ Banks holding billions in bad mortgages
β†’ The domino effect hits the broader economy

AND THIS TIME IT’S WORSE:

β†’ A war is driving oil prices through the roof
β†’ Inflation is spiking again
β†’ Interest rates can’t come down
β†’ $2 TRILLION wiped from the stock market this week alone
β†’ Tech companies laying off tens of thousands
β†’ The job market is already dead

In 2008, at least the economy wasn’t at war.

This time you have a housing crash AND a global conflict AND inflation AND mass layoffs β€” all at the same time.

Do NOT buy a home right now.

If you can sell β€” sell.

The bottom is nowhere close.

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About the Author: NC Scout

NC Scout is the nom de guerre of a former Infantry Scout and Sergeant in one of the Army’s best Reconnaissance Units. He has combat tours in both Iraq and Afghanistan. He teaches a series of courses focusing on small unit skills rarely if ever taught anywhere else in the prepping and survival field, including his RTO Course which focuses on small unit communications. In his free time he is an avid hunter, bushcrafter, writer, long range shooter, prepper, amateur radio operator and Libertarian activist. He can be contacted at [email protected] or via his blog at brushbeater.wordpress.com .

2 Comments

  1. Johnny Paratrooper March 6, 2026 at 13:44 - Reply

    People don’t get married and have kids anymore.

    So people don’t need to upgrade to a larger house if they start a family.

    This is also very specific to certain areas.

    For instance, Tampa Florida area is in high demand, but nobody wants to pull the trigger on a home.

    Same in Wyoming, Colorado, or Montana.

    Beautiful Area, but you need to also buy a 4×4 vehicle. And if you don’t Ski, you aren’t going to enjoy the 8 months of winter.

  2. Johnny Paratrooper March 6, 2026 at 13:57 - Reply

    I forgot to add, nobody rents, moves, or buys houses during the school year.

    Statistically speaking of course.

    If you listed a rental in September, all the Yuppies and College kids have already found housing. That listing will sit empty for 6-9 months.

    Unless you offer a 15%-20% discount based on local comps.

    The same phenomenon happens with professionals and families.

    My family has been in real estate since the 90’s.

    And one of my best friends owns over 1600 houses, apartments, units, condos.

    As far as the high interest rates, my house was listed at $500,000, when the rates were 2.75%. (no concessions)

    When the rates hit 7%, my house was lowered to $350,000 and I got $26,500 in concessions out of the seller.

    Buying at high rates makes sense.

    If you buy at a lower rate, that’s your mortgage payment. Forever.

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