By accident or on purpose, Pandemic World War One has already begun, even if we don’t fully realize it yet. A few examples to make the point: the American super-carrier Roosevelt is in Guam, with over 100 of its crew infected after a scheduled port visit in Vietnam, and half of its 5,000 member crew under quarantine. Parris Island, the USMC’s east coast boot camp, has many troops infected, with no new recruits inbound, and graduating Marines quarantined on base indefinitely. Our thousand-bed USNS hospital ships Mercy and Comfort are deployed to Los Angeles and New York. U.S. military medical personnel are being sent to American Coronavirus hot spots to augment their civilian medical staffs.
If Pandemic World War One was launched intentionally, then naval vessels and isolated ChiCom special forces bases will become significant force multipliers, because they can be kept scrupulously free of Coronavirus, held back for later use when Western military forces are infected, depleted, and not battle ready. Even if the Covid-19 pandemic was not released on purpose, getting a head start on quarantining key military assets for later use becomes a critical factor, and such total isolation is far more easily achieved within China’s totalitarian dictatorship.
But intentionally begun or not, now that PWW1 is underway, Communist China plans to win it. By March of 2020 they had totally sealed their borders to inward travel without strictly scrutinized visas with a high rejection rate, followed by a very harsh 2+ week quarantine under CCP control at the traveler’s expense. Now China has little to worry about from a new phase of the pandemic that they could launch against the West.
In this emerging global environment, an even deadlier Covid-20 would become a nearly ideal weapon of mass destruction, because unlike nuclear-tipped ICBMs, its Chinese origins would be deniable and unprovable. The Chinese Communist Party would claim that Covid-20 was a natural mutation that sprang up in the West. They would be able sit back and watch while America and Europe were destroyed as economic and military powers, and Africa and many other Third World cities and nations were laid prostate and thus open for rapid Chinese colonization.
For example: Guayaquil, Ecuador is one of a handful of major seaports on the west coast of South America, and it has the best location and by far the largest natural harbor. Guayaquil touts itself as the main port city and gateway to the Pacific Rim, including China. Now Coronavirus is breaking out in Guayaquil at about the same pace it did in Milan a month ago, but Ecuador does not have a slim fraction of Italy’s medical capacity to deal with it. In a month, Guayaquil might be a medical catastrophe, and America will be in no position to send help.
If Pandemic World War One goes in China’s favor, their plans will include sending “rescue and relief” ships to Ecuador which would become the basis and beachhead of Chinese control and colonization. A similar pattern would emerge across Africa, where Chinese infrastructure projects are already omnipresent. In the thrall of an accelerated pandemic, America and Europe would be too weak to oppose these Chinese “rescue missions.” The president of the Philippines has already announced he is eager to be “rescued” by China. And it’s worth mentioning that Chinese firms already control the container ports on both ends of the Panama Canal, as well as a gigantic new container port in Freeport, in the Bahamas. In fact, such Communist Chinese beachheads already exist around the world.
Now factor into the equation that China has thirty million more men than women as a result of their former one-child policy. During times of economic hardship this surplus of unmarried adult men will present a grave danger to the CCP. The obvious solution is to send as many of them as possible abroad on foreign “rescue missions” or other military adventures that will quickly become invasion and colonization efforts. Their sheer numbers are impressive. If China sent just ten of its excess thirty million men abroad on colonization missions, they could attack 200 targets around the world with 50,000 troops each.
Roll-on/roll-off ships loaded with armored personnel carriers would provide them with all of the offensive punch required to assure victory in most cases. Advanced vehicle-borne and shoulder-launched anti-armor and anti-aircraft missiles would easily defend these invasion forces against almost any plausible Third World counterattacks. Very few nations have any meaningful way to defend against such a simple “locust swarm” invasion strategy. For example, New Zealand has completely scrapped its last remaining jet fighters as too expensive and unneeded.
Logistically supporting and sustaining these invasion forces from mainland China would not be critical to their success, because these men would have been intentionally sent on one-way colonization missions. The commanders of these troops would be told to find wives, land and treasure in their target countries. No matter if a particular force succeeded at invasion and colonization, or if they were defeated and destroyed, they would never again present a problem for the CCP to deal with back in China. They would be leaving China with no return ticket. Even if their troop ships were sunk at sea, their permanent disappearance from China would be counted as a net gain to the Chinese Communist Party’s survival.
But China is only strong today because the West allowed it grow economically many fold over the past forty years, due to our short-sighted stupidity and our lust for ever-cheaper consumer goods, and even for cheaper medical supplies. In the new environment of a global pandemic originating from China, that paradigm is over. Now China has no choice except to make both regional and global military advances while it is able. If it does not, it will soon be in a strategic position similar to Japan in 1941 after harsh Western economic embargoes were imposed, particularly those which cut off Japanese access to American petroleum and iron.
The CCP has 1.4 billion Chinese mouths to feed, and they can’t begin feed them from within their own boundaries. China today is a hot-house flower farm after the greenhouse glass has been smashed and hail is coming down instead of sunshine. When the rest of the world radically reduces their imports, China will soon be unable to feed itself. I believe that the CCP leadership realizes that they stand today poised on the creaking hinge of history, and that they must make bold strategic moves while they still hold temporary advantages which they may lose in the coming years.
If the CCP waits for America to recover economically and militarily, they will lose the Pandemic World War. As its export clients look elsewhere, China will rapidly shrink in power. In contrast, America is inherently a great continental power that can feed itself and provide its own energy. America can manufacture anything it needs, including advanced military technology. At least when seen from the Chinese perspective, America stands to make a rapid economic recovery once the pandemic has run its course.
I believe that Pandemic World War One will transition into a war of economic embargo against China. Understanding this, the CCP has no alternative other than to make bold strategic moves while they are able. A Western boycott against China will result in their economic collapse, famine, massive nationwide riots, and ultimately a grass-roots revolution against the discredited Chinese Communist Party.
But until then, China will be a cornered dragon: wounded, trapped, desperate, and capable of almost unimaginably evil acts, including the release of new and even deadlier viruses into the West, in order to win Pandemic World War One.
April 5 Update: Chinese relief aid cargo plane arrives in Manila.
“First we infect you, then we come to your rescue.”