Farmers Set to Abandon US Wheat Crops at Highest Rate Since 1917

(Bloomberg) — America’s wheat fields have become so plagued by drought that farmers are now poised to abandon crops at the highest rate in more than a century.

Producers are expected to harvest about 67% of their planted acres, the US Department of Agriculture said Friday. If realized, that would be the lowest harvest ratio since 1917, the agency said in a monthly report.

Years of dry conditions on the US Plains have taken their toll on America’s famed fields of grain. Some wheat plants this season were so stunted by a lack of moisture that they won’t produce so-called heads of grain, leaving little reason to harvest them. Farmers can instead file crop-insurance claims for failed acres, or choose to plant something else. Next week, an annual tour in the top wheat-growing state of Kansas will allow analysts to survey fields and make production estimates.

“We’ll see short wheat, thin stands, some wheat that looks really good and a lot of fields that aren’t going to be harvested,” Justin Gilpin, chief executive officer of the trade group Kansas Wheat, said of next week’s crop tour.

The USDA forecast that the high rate of abandonment will drag US wheat supplies to lower levels than analysts were expecting. That could keep domestic prices elevated, even with rival producers such as Canada and Argentina likely to boost output.

Futures of hard red winter wheat, the variety grown in drought-struck states including Kansas and Oklahoma, surged as much as 6.9% after the data was released. That’s the biggest intraday gain for the most-active contract since October.

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Patriotman currently ekes out a survivalist lifestyle in a suburban northeastern state as best as he can. He has varied experience in political science, public policy, biological sciences, and higher education. Proudly Catholic and an Eagle Scout, he has no military experience and thus offers a relatable perspective for the average suburban prepper who is preparing for troubled times on the horizon with less than ideal teams and in less than ideal locations. Brushbeater Store Page: http://bit.ly/BrushbeaterStore

One Comment

  1. Centurion_Cornelius May 14, 2023 at 11:34

    Bottom line: pick yourself up and extra bag or two of decent FLOUR. You’ll need it.

    Been reading all the FED GOV “Farm Crop Reports.” Total BS. Good corn, sugar, rice, soybean crops–YAY! But, here’s what’s the bottom line for essential FLOUR–key component for breads, baked goods, pasta, crackers, soups, cereals, etc:

    “The [wheat] crop estimate was like 75 million bushels below the average trade guess, and that was actually one of the bigger surprises in the report,” he says. “It shouldn’t be a shock that the wheat crop in Kansas is no good. But it’s all about expectations versus reality.”

    Drought has blow-torched the wheat crop in Oklahoma and Kansas. Farmers are just walking away from scorched fields. Ya blame ’em? Hell no–not with machinery expenses, diesel costs, wages for help (if you can find anyone willing to work.) Just file for the losses on your crop insurance program.

    Try this FED GOV “gobbledygook” report (Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board) to bend your mind:
    https://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/wasde0523.pdf

    https://www.agweb.com/news/crops/crop-production/why-usda-making-major-assumptions-about-new-crop-supply-and-demand-may

    Glad I’m out of the farming business…

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