FCC’s Upcoming Drone Ban: What You Need To Know

This has been coming on the backend for a bit now with supply networks showing warning signs for at least the past 60 days. And while DJI is getting most of the attention on this it definitely applies to several other companies both large and small as well. Bottom line up front, this does not bode well for the civilian commercial market near term.

From my perspective this looks more like a strong move to curtail the market presence of higher end, higher capability drones from governmental and civil corporate contract work. Big Ag comes to mind. There’s several residual problems here that I can think of off the top of my head. Chief among them is the non-concern with the lower end civilian market. The few companies behind this see dollar signs in large procurement contracts and don’t care about the civilian market at all. Its not even an afterthought. And while you may rebut this by saying ‘well, that only applies to finished products’ you’d be dead wrong. This move bottlenecks transmitters and controllers, too. 3D print all the airframes you want, you won’t be able to get anything else to make it fly.

I personally wouldn’t have as much concern if the American market was at all concerned with innovation. But they’re not – remember here that the development in small unit drone innovation everywhere from Ukraine to Yemen to Thailand and beyond has been driven by relatively cheap (sub-$1k), common, off the shelf (COTS) drones and forward thinking. The American military industrial complex was caught with its pants down and continues to be so. They consider the LUCAS to be low cost at a whopping $55k per unit. What a deal! On the civil contract side you have a handful of techbro startups, with Skydio being the most prominent. Those start at $15k, if you’re not tracking. And if you’re not familiar with startup capitalism, its basically this: register a trademark, outsource a prototype, take out corporate loans, have a polished conman give sales pitches to agencies, produce nothing and hope to sell it to a larger company while skimming the margin. Sounds promising for innovation, right? The banks have already caught on and that ship has sailed right on out of Huntsville, AL and down into the Gulf. Oh and the rotor motors and controllers? Still made in Taiwan thanks to the EPA, OSHA, local agencies, labor unions, so on and so forth. And the political reality of Taiwan is a bit different than the American fairy tale makes it out to be. As soon as China looks like they’re the stronger trade partner they’ll put distance on the American trade imbalance. Based on the Japanese and South Korean economic crisis currently brewing I’d wager this is correct.

Before anyone reading this thinks I’m simping for offshore entities, I’m pointing out the reality. Domestic chip manufacturing, which never really got underway, is hinged upon AI data centers, NOT useful endeavors. And I know a thing or two about corporate margins. While the barstool retard commentary reaction would be stating “Well, at least it’ll bring back American jobs”, yeah, ok, sure. Not staffed by generational Americans. More incompetent H1Bs leeches, Haitians, and other assorted trash that’ll reliably vote blue no matter who. Welcome to the ‘big tent’, they’re just as American as you, so sit down and get replaced. Small companies will get strangled with tariffs (ask me how I know) in an attempt to stifle corporate competition. Its a catch 22 situation that’s only going to get worse.

If you wanted to ‘bring back American manufacturing’ for the commercial market this is the absolute opposite way of doing it. The bad news is that the really good products on the market, including Autel, will likely dry up for a bit. I’m fighting to keep that from happening on the back end but I’m simply laying out the facts. The good news, on the other hand, is that this also won’t last. Trump, Inc. is going to experience a massive referendum coming in November and I highly doubt most of you are ready for how fast that whiplash is going to happen. None of us have to like it, but awful policy decisions, abandoning the free market, and not making good on what you were elected to do gets you that. The good news is that, like everything else, a seam and gap will be created and maybe some harsh lessons will be learned. Till then, get your stuff in order.

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About the Author: NC Scout

NC Scout is the nom de guerre of a former Infantry Scout and Sergeant in one of the Army’s best Reconnaissance Units. He has combat tours in both Iraq and Afghanistan. He teaches a series of courses focusing on small unit skills rarely if ever taught anywhere else in the prepping and survival field, including his RTO Course which focuses on small unit communications. In his free time he is an avid hunter, bushcrafter, writer, long range shooter, prepper, amateur radio operator and Libertarian activist. He can be contacted at [email protected] or via his blog at brushbeater.wordpress.com .

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